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Looking at real estate, you get inflation (2-3%) plus rents . I like the Midwest, where I think that I can do better. I do not recommend real estate to those starting out and MMM has several posts on his experience. However, if you can find a good rent and area and you have a serious stash it may be worth considering. There is this pesky thing called reversion to the mean to think about.

And even if the markets suck for a few years , over the long term, you should get everything back and then some. At least it worked out for me from March of 2009, September 2001, the y2k issue, the dot com bust itrader review of the late 90’s, the real estate bubble burst of the 80’s, etc. etc. Main investments come from recurring investments out of my salary. Already make well more than I spend which is the main step anyway .

  • Additionally the tax system here implies you annually have to pay about 1.5% of everything you own in stocks, funds etc.
  • Or check out the results with consistent monthly investments since 2000.
  • Or its possible that the international market is way undervalued relative to the US.

There are great asset classes other than US equities, and some of them may be fairly valued when U.S. equities aren’t. But how great of a long-term value they are depends greatly on their purchase price. It just doesn’t sound very Mustachian to me to buy US stocks when they are overpriced. The Stock Series by my pal Jim Collins goes through the philosophy of index fund investing at a leisurely pace with plenty of interesting stories and folksy wisdom. There are many funds that accomplish this, but my default choice is Vanguard’s VTI. You can buy it by getting a Vanguard account, or from any brokerage account . Now you have $1.07M, so even after the $15k withdrawal (now only 1.4% of your account!) you’re still up over fifty grand.

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Is this a strategy you would recommend to everyone? There seems to be a lot of time and skill involved in your portfolio. When you tell others they should pick good stocks, do you really believe the majority of them will make good choices? And then factor in the time it would take doing research to build a diversified portfolio. Compare that to simply clicking a button to buy a S&P 500 ETF.

But if you read my blog you will see I tried for intsance Australia and learned some hard lessons investting far away….. The stocks that are in my portfolio are the stocks that I hold in my personal account. Some of them are there, for now, more than 10 years. Once a year I do short summaries of my positions, the posts are called “My xx stocks for 20xx”.

You no more need to know the exact value of your stock portfolio than you need to know how much your house went up in value today. Leading online trading solutions for traders, investors and advisors, with direct global access to stocks, options, futures, currencies, bonds and funds. Transparent, low commissions and financing rates and support for best execution... I’d agree indexing has its disadvantages, but it is also better than a novice investor getting into penny stocks or not investing at all. Also using WB’s contrarian advice is tough for plenty of people.

You might want to look at the last one to see which positions I am very comfortable with and which positions are shakier. If returns are indeed low for a decade, and it is a problem for your dad, that would suck. But it is likely not to trade99 review be due to switching to index funds – the lower expenses paid means he’ll likely have done better than had he stayed in higher-cost funds. On a macro level, I’m worried about a multi-year plateau in the stock market for a couple reasons.

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Is it possible for Americans to immigrate to your country? When I turned 18 I got a small five-digit amount of money from my grandparents to start a retirement font which I put in an index fund. Even using IndexView just now shows that since 2000 the S/P 500 has an annual growth of only 3.7%. I’m not Jason, but I use Vanguard’s VWIUX (“Vanguard Intermediate-Term Tax-Exempt Fund Admiral Shares”) as my muni bond fund. Vanguard also has Short- and Long-Term options , and also Investor class shares of the three. In addition, there are a couple of ways to hack into your 401k if you plan on retiring early .

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That article is not claiming to give you an additional 3% return over a broad market index fund with sensible asset allocation. Given current stock market conditions, a ‘stash like that would provide $25,000 per year in dividends alone. So you need to sell a few shares each year ($15k worth) to make up the difference.

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I would bet its the latter, but I honestly don’t know. VTI has done badly compared to the Shanghai Composite index over the past 10 years, therefore Chinese stocks will continue to outperform US stocks over the long term. Seems to me like learning to live frugally and inspiring others to do the same has the same effect as a very large, widespread boycott. I meant to respond to this earlier, but for whatever reason my post didn’t post as a reply. The article you linked to points out that a 65 year old who can never work again should be cautious with their savings.

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I have friends in their 20s who are so afraid of investing in mutual funds because of the perceived risk, when they don’t understand that it is riskier in the long run to NOT invest money. That graph shows the market is still somewhat “expensive”, but it doesn’t let me predict the future enough to forego stocks altogether. Expensive stocks just mean you’ll get lower average returns – not negative ones. Retired people or people with a sizable stash should definitely be invested at least partly in some blue chips or other dividend-producing stocks.

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Although the margins, ROE, RIC are very low and the demand for wine has been decresing in important markets, like china. I invested in a company that semms to be bargain, although I would like to have your opinion. I am a value investor and I have been following your blog. Despite panic, I still don’t touch German utilities. As I have written extensively, there are so many problems that there is a large risk that they turn out as typicalvalue traps.

All that is being discussed here is buying stocks when they are at fair and low prices, and buying other things when they are overpriced. What I mean by “long term” PE is the “cyclically adjusted” P/E ratio, also Node js WebRTC magic mirror Kurento 6 18.0 documentation known as the “Shiller PE” or CAPE” ratio. It is an average of the P/E ratio over the past 10 years. This is what is extremely predictive of future returns—not any single snapshot of P/E during any single moment.


Despite this fluctuation in the sticker price, you still had the same number of shares , and they continued to lay about $25,000 in annual dividends. I really love all the great information you post and the amazing debates after your articles. As an amateur value investor having access to this kind of information is invaluable. I think this depends on the individual style of investing.

You’ll average an 8% return over the decades, while Buffett will average 20%. Think of it this way, compare two stocks where one pays a 2% dividend and appreciates 5% the other one doesn’t pay a dividend but appreciates 7% a year. If you were to just sell 2% of your holdings of the second stock, the net result would be basically the same, ignoring tax consequences. I only have 2 cents instead of nickels to spare so my thoughts are short. Who cares if the market plateaus at this level for 5 to 50 years?

Corporate earnings have not been growing at the same blistering pace they were a couple years ago, things seem to be slowing down. I would caveat that it all depends on your situation. If you have been plunking away a good chunk into a 401k religiously every month for a few years or a decade or two, then yeah, this is pretty good advice. Be honest with yourself and see that a majority of your readership would be much worse off than yourself if they were to lose 50% or more of their stock value over a year and a half. History shows we are irrational and sell low and by high.

The new money I have generated for investing is piling up in cash again, waiting for the next opportunity. It is true, for instance, that Buffet recommends that the average passive investor simply buy and hold index funds. But he also spends much of his time advocating against buying overpriced stocks. So obviously, these two ideas are not mutually exclusive.

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